Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.001045 0.001127 0.001214 0.001313 0.001425 0.001545 0.001687
2025-12-14 0.000923 0.001032 0.001152 0.001298 0.001472 0.001672 0.001924
2025-12-21 0.000834 0.000955 0.001094 0.001268 0.001484 0.001745 0.002092
2025-12-28 0.000743 0.000864 0.001008 0.001193 0.001429 0.001724 0.002133
2026-01-04 0.000682 0.000804 0.000951 0.001146 0.001401 0.001731 0.002203
2026-01-11 0.000643 0.000768 0.000922 0.001130 0.001409 0.001780 0.002332
2026-01-18 0.000614 0.000742 0.000902 0.001124 0.001428 0.001845 0.002487
2026-01-25 0.000668 0.000826 0.001029 0.001320 0.001738 0.002345 0.003345
2026-02-01 0.000625 0.000778 0.000979 0.001269 0.001694 0.002324 0.003391
2026-02-08 0.000591 0.000741 0.000940 0.001232 0.001667 0.002326 0.003472
2026-02-15 0.000567 0.000717 0.000917 0.001216 0.001670 0.002372 0.003632
2026-02-22 0.000548 0.000699 0.000902 0.001211 0.001687 0.002442 0.003841
2026-03-01 0.000520 0.000668 0.000872 0.001185 0.001680 0.002484 0.004033
2026-03-08 0.000497 0.000645 0.000851 0.001172 0.001692 0.002561 0.004306
2026-03-15 0.000473 0.000618 0.000822 0.001146 0.001679 0.002593 0.004496
2026-03-22 0.000439 0.000576 0.000770 0.001081 0.001596 0.002492 0.004394
2026-03-29 0.000415 0.000547 0.000736 0.001040 0.001552 0.002457 0.004427
2026-04-05 0.000399 0.000530 0.000718 0.001025 0.001551 0.002502 0.004644
2026-04-12 0.000387 0.000518 0.000707 0.001020 0.001566 0.002578 0.004944
2026-04-19 0.000419 0.000571 0.000799 0.001191 0.001913 0.003361 0.007196
2026-04-26 0.000398 0.000544 0.000765 0.001147 0.001857 0.003300 0.007212
2026-05-03 0.000381 0.000523 0.000739 0.001115 0.001821 0.003281 0.007346
2026-05-10 0.000369 0.000509 0.000723 0.001101 0.001820 0.003338 0.007720